As is the feeling,
So is the result.
Shreya:
India-China disengagement process in eastern Ladakh complete: Rajnath Singh
The CCP has moved on India. Typically for most Euro-American media Information Operation warriors, this hardly makes an impression. I picked it up first at Instapundit and then at Rantburg. It is important.
Expect CCP to do everything they should do diplomatically, financially, and militarily to win for their vision, which is a-historical. When they do not do what they should do in those regards — and they will not — hit their comms with everything you have, to cut off their oxygen.
Their weakness is their ideology. Exploit their weakness to their detriment. Make them own their own stupidity. For inducing blindness, ignorance, and therefore self-destruction, ideology is as powerful as fear, anger, envy, and greed. Make CCP pay for theirs.
Document Number Nine
ChinaFile: Document 9: A ChinaFile Translation — Related
Daniel W. Drezner: The political economy of Document Number Nine
Jan Jekielek: Gen. Robert Spalding: On the Hong Kong Protest, US-China Trade War & ‘Parasitic’ China Economy
For Perspective: Global Times [CCP]: China’s ‘No. 1 Document’ to continue land reforms as part of revitalization strategy
Jack Beyrer: Chinese Communist Party Document Reveals Plans for Greater Party Control Over Companies
Geographical / Communications background to China’s attack against India, in two PDF files: one on USINDOPACOM geography and communications, one on the PLA’s lines of attack across India’s Northeast and Northwest borders:
Beijing’s Strategic Ends: Harmony Through
Hierarchy and the End of Choice
– George Bartle
The Case for Full-Spectrum
Competition with China
– Mark K. Jbeily
Ladakh Region (Northwest India):
Daulat Beg Oldi, Demchok, Murgo, Aksai Chin, Karakoram Pass, Shyok River, Nubra River, Siachen Glacier, Line of Actual Control, McMahon Line.
Sikkim and Assam Region (Northeast India):
Nathu La Pass, Sikkim, Assam, Doklam, Siliguri Corridor
Media Reports:
Times of India: Doklam Tri Junction
Times of India: Armies Of India, China Appear Heading For Biggest Face-Off After Doklam
L. Todd Wood: Chinese State Media Outlines Motives For Launching Virus On The West
Related
Brian Preston: U.S. Secretary of State Rules that Hong Kong Is No Longer Autonomous From China
Reuters: China’s Xi urges preparedness for military combat amid coronavirus epidemic
Kunal Purohit: India-China border dispute: New Delhi rejects Donald Trump’s offer to mediate [Note: SCMP is CCP Lite.]
The Indian Express: Not far from the LAC, satellite picks up Chinese armour, artillery
The Epoch Times: India, China Troops Clash at Himalayan Border, With 20 Indian Soldiers Dead
Twitter: Night Fighters Fall Off Cliff
December 2021: On volatile border between India and China, a high-altitude military buildup is underway
Twitter: Indian Army on high alert
Twitter: Indian Ministers meet
Twitter: PLA says Galwan is Chinese sovereign territory
Daily Mail: China redirecting Himal River near Galwan
Yahoo: ‘Hurt and angry’, India leader warns China over border clash
Hindustan Times: China suffered 43 casualties in violent face-off in Galwan Valley, reveal Indian intercepts
Hindustan Times: Ladakh vs Doklam standoff: Same military commander, different tactics
Breitbart: Reports: Biggest Clash Between China, India in over 50 Years Leaves at Least 50 Casualties
Frank O’Donnell Alexander K. Bollfrass: The Strategic Postures of China and India: A Visual Guide / PDF
SCMP used to be anti-Communist, now it is ChiCom Lite at best.
Austin Bay: Chinese Communist Party Snared in a Multidimensional War
SCMP: India seeks to boost air defences to match China amid rising border tensions
Suhasini Haidar: Ladakh face-off | Chinese build-up started in May: MEA
Paul D. Shinkman: U.S. Intel: China Ordered Attack on Indian Troops in Galwan River Valley
Twitter: Outside Leh City, all movement except army stopped, Srinagar-Leh highway also closed for common people
Twitter: China calls on #India to stop ‘provocative activities’ along disputed border
Twitter: Russia reaction to border activity
Twitter: Indian Armed Forces went on their highest state of alert along the 3,488-km Line of Control as well as the eastern seaboard.
Richard Fernandez: Why China Wants USA Destabilized
Major General Wang Haiyun: I advocate putting Wutong Taiwan on the agenda as soon as possible
Austin Bay: India-Pakistan: Some Quiet On The Northern Front
Khamma Press: India’s reaction to abduction of Sikh Afghan leader by militants in Paktiya
Al Arabiya: India, China agree to ‘complete disengagement’ from flashpoint Himalayan valley
Al Arabiya: India admits massing troops on Himalayan border following Chinese buildup
Christopher Clary on Twitter: India loses tactical positions
Austin Bay: Chinese Communist Party Snared in a Multidimensional War
Paul D. Shinkman: U.S. Intel: China Ordered Attack on Indian Troops in Galwan River Valley
Stephen Green: Chinese Troops in ‘Panic Mode’ After Border Clash with India
SCMP (CCP Media): PM Narendra Modi visits Indian troops near Chinese border following deadly clash
Reuters: India Bans 59 Mostly Chinese Apps Amid Border Crisi
SCMP (CCP Media): Why Pakistan is a big factor in China’s border clashes with India
Gabrielle Reyes: Indian Finance Minister: We Can’t Even Make Hindu Idols Without China
Vijeta Uniyal: India Calls For “Boycott China” After Deadly Border Clash
Aditya Raj Kaul on Twitter: CDRs at Line of Actual Control given tactical freedom
Nathan Ruser: Satellite images show positions surrounding deadly China–India clash
Deepak Nagpal: ‘Not a strategic threat’: In speech, Chinese envoy assures India as well as issues veiled threat
- That, of course, is classic gaslighting. Its purpose in this case is to tie India to China rather than to USA.
Tsarizm Staff: Yes, Russia Could Work With US Against China
The Moscow Times: Russia to Speed Up S-400 Delivery to India Amid China Standoff
Hindustan Times: China, the common link between Ladakh and 3 US super carriers in the Indo-Pacific
Kevin Brown: Modi Versus Xi: The Battle Of The Nationalist Strongmen
Vijeta Uniyal: China’s Undeclared War on India
Indrani Bagchi: LAC stand-off: Not just a border conflict, there’s much more to it
Keegan Elmer (SCMP: CCP Media): China-India border rift simmers with reports of troop moves on both sides
Snehesh Alex Philip: Ministries of security, Strategic Support Force — China’s intel agencies & how they operate
Sundance: Big Winning – REPORT: India and U.S. Close to Final Trade Agreement
Seamus Bruner: From ‘Made in China’ to ‘Owned by China’: 20 deals show how China is gobbling up U.S. assets
Tridivesh Singh Maini: India-China: Boycott, rhetoric and realities
ET Now Digital: Good riddance to China: India draws list of alternate countries for critical imports
David Axe: As Mountain Standoff With India Continues, China Stages Bombers And Cruise Missiles
Times of India: For China ties, India seeks ‘total LAC disengagement’
Manish Shukla: China planned Galwan incursion well in advance, deployed lightweight T-15 tanks in Tibet in January
Tyler Durden: China Mobilizes Invasion Craft On Coast Near Taiwan As Top US Official Arrives In Taipei: Report [I believe the initial target is Palau or Guam, likely the former]
George Bartle: Beijing’s Strategic Ends: Harmony Through Hierarchy and the End of Choice
Tamim Hamid: Afghan Foreign Ministry Opposes Fence Along Durand Line
Shishir Gupta: China moves troops near Lipulekh Pass
Al-Masdar News: Chinese T-90 Tank Buildup on Indian Boarder
Doug Bandow: The U.S. Wants India as a Real Ally, Not Another Helpless Dependent
Dan Darling: India’s Defense Indigenization Effort Takes a Bold Step
Austin Bay: China War Scenarios: Versus the U.S., Versus India, China Versus China
Lieutenant Mark K. Jbeily, U.S. Navy: The Case for Full-Spectrum Competition with China
Twitter: India Reinforces Ladakh
Twitter: India Deploys To 4 Strategic Peaks
Twitter: China Says India Crossed Border And Fired Warning Shots
Peter Wood: PLA Rocket Forces And Chinese Rail System
Elizabeth Roche: ‘Border tussle has debunked the myth of asymmetry in power’
Reuters: India Secures Its East after Western Himalaya Clashes With China
Global Times: Talks with India come with war preparedness: Global Times editorial
Times Of India: Indian Army occupies heights overlooking the Chinese Army positions at Finger 4 along Pangong Tso lake
WSJ: U.S. Military Is Offered New Bases in the Pacific
Sidhant Sibal: China indulged in ‘provocative action’ throughout Tuesday
Shreya Dhoundial: India-China Face-off Can Take Any Trajectory, But Hasn’t Reached the Threshold of War
India Today: India China Standoff: Rajnath Singh Talks Tough During Meet With Chinese Defence Minister In Moscow
TNW: India bans 118 Chinese apps including PUBG
Times Of India: China’s latest incursion bid was deliberate move to provoke India: US intelligence
Curtis Ellis: It’s China, Stupid
Peony Hirwani: Why the India-China border dispute might soon spiral out of control
Times Of India: India, China troops within shooting range at Spanggur Gap
Theological Geography: From India To Russia With Love
Theological Geography: Maps / INDOPACOM / CCP / India
Japan MOD: CCP intentions, assets, orders of battle in Japan’s Pacific AO / PDF
Just The News: After U.S.-China military crisis talks, Beijing spikes rumor that Pentagon will launch drone strike
Michael J, Good: Chinese Strategy Of Total War
Andrew Latham: Mahan, Corbett, and China’s Maritime Grand Strategy
Jonah Gottshalk: Trump’s New China Policy Earns Praise From Tibet And Fury From Communists
Amrita Jash: India Can No Longer Have Peaceful Co-existence With China
David R. Graham
China just opened on India, northwest corridor.
Rob L to David R. Graham
David R. Graham to Rob L
Thanks much, good to see the ground and persons. One of the same sectors they came across in 1962, the other being northeast, Assam area. Wolf diplomacy they are calling it now, after the Wolf Warrior movies. Chushul again a candidate for Thermopylae-like action if/when they move farther south. The natural routes, after breaking towards Chushul, would be north and south on the line of the Indus or south and east on the line of the Ganges; with the second front (Assam) opening a corridor, as contemplated in 1962, south and west on the line of the Brahmaputra.
The logistical tails are severely long and narrow, and the geography, at least initially, is hostile to full-spectrum force deployment. If/when they come south, pinching off their comms behind them would be easier than it was in 1962. Still, I would take this move as, at most, a reconnaissance in force cum diversion. Their main body and logistical supports face east [corrected from first writing, when I wrote west] and to a lesser extent north. Guam, Palau, and Siberia should be on alert.
Ground war in China is no longer an irrational problem set. Challenging, surely, but no longer irrational. Glenn wrote yesterday: Commies gonna commie. The only way to stop them is by killing them, or beating them into submission. And in the latter case, they still don’t give up for long. Just thinking in pixels . . . .
Rob L to David R. Graham
I couldn’t find the video report I was looking for, but apparently hundreds of CCP Chinese troops just occupied disputed territory and even detained Indian patrols.
The CCP seems to realize that the gig is up for their soft power game.
David R. Graham to Rob L
Indeed. At the risk of being taken for self-promoting, I offer that this situation begs pursuing CCP through a global geo-political reformation I call Three Brothers Doctrine, comprising a three-nation alliance: USA, India, Russia.
Rob L to David R. Graham
I’m not entirely sure of the Russian component but I’m entirely open to the formation of a Coalition of Free Democracies to counter the new Axis led by the CCP.
David R. Graham to Rob L
Understandable doubts on Russia, yet, Russian border security situation — her perennial geo-strategic nightmare — as well as historic Russia-US friendship (Lincoln, Johnson, Seward), and Russian familiarity with India, make Three Brother Nations alliance an attractive opportunity for all three, for their own reasons as well as for common ones. China is the world’s #1 stinker and the world therefore, in her most potent nations, and for reasons of self-preservation and sacred nature, is understandably interested in being free of stink.
Thoughts on working CCP flanks (pinching off their comms).
rabidfox2 to David R. Graham
We worked with Stalin when we needed to. We can work with Putin if we have to.
David R. Graham to rabidfox2
True, however, if I may offer it: Stalin was a Communist and drunk, Putin is a Christian and sober. Statecraft works by interests in geo-political sovereignty (and regrettable miscalculations thereof), not by morals — wherein we all deserve the nether regions — or even by political philosophy, which rest so firmly in time, clime, received habit, and geography.
Rob L to David R. Graham
Interesting insights. Russia may emerge as an ally if/when it all goes down, but they seem to be hedging their bets at the moment.
I see the CCP position as intrinsically untenable with their supply lines being so dependent on international good will (and rule of law they have been actively undermining and corrupting), although the CCP do have an immediate advantage in manpower and existing industrial capacity. That advantage will be quickly eroded in any actual hot conflict.
David R. Graham to Rob L
That is what I see, too.
Rob L to David R. Graham
Amen to that.
David R. Graham to Rob L
Probably you picked it up, that, early in this string I wrote that China’s main force and logistical support face west, but what I meant to write is that China’s main force and logistical support face east, i.e., across the Pacific, to Guam, Palau, and Hawaii.
Otherwise: a bit of snooping around Indian comms suggests that the CCP diversion/reconn (more to test political will than military ability) is occurring on both the eastern (Sikkim/Assam) and western (Ladakh) routes into India, just as in 1962. And the elevations are astounding: 14-17k feet. Two-carrier war games underway against Taiwan I would assess as another diversion. IMO, CCP assesses Taiwan as a threat when in their rear but not a threat when in their front.
To the expert who says CCP would not start a war because it would hurt them commercially, one may point out that ideologues, such as socialists, do many things that self-harm, to include economically, militarily, and politically. CCP’s Wuhan Virus bioweapon attack is exhibit A. Utterly stupid.
CCP are cornered right now even more than were Japan’s General Staff in 1940. CCP bet the house on owning the world, but the world is capably averse to being owned.
I’d say the indications are they intend to strike not only with bioweapons, as already accomplished, but with the exploding and walking kind as well, and USA real estate is high on their list of recipients.
Rob L to David R. Graham
Here’s vid report from today.
Speaking of political will; India is now in “talks” with the CCP to de-escalate.
David R. Graham to Rob L
That is a platoon-size engagement. Reliable CCP diplomatic game: play dragon, play panda, play dragon, play panda. etc. Thanks again for this vid.
I think at this point the question is orders of battle. India says their force is superior to CCP’s, at least in Ladakh. Very sketchy words about CCP having 2k troops somewhere around Ladakh would mean about two reinforced, maybe three ordinary battalions, but equally sketchy words about CCP building base camps would mean more strength is contemplated.
More soldiers means more logistics, at 14-17K feet and mostly windy, dusty desert. In such conditions orders of battle tell what is coming.
At those elevations, troops must undergo extensive training/diet conditioning before deployment and be redeployed NLT three or four months later to recover battle-readiness . . . or be just squandered to maintain vicious leaders’ persons’ delusions of grandeur, as the Soviet Presidium did in Afghanistan — until Soldier Mothers stopped them — and from camp non-hygiene rather than enemy action.
Old_School_Conservative53 to David R. Graham
Ask India if China’s intentions are benign. One of their generals, Navarene, said in 2012 that China’s long term intentions were regional and global domination. Our globalist fools pooh-poohed his predictions.
David R. Graham to Old_School_Conservative53
They wanted to believe CCP would mellow out with prosperity. Then they refused to acknowledge that CCP controlled them rather than, as they had intended, vice versa. Then they say, as now, Well, we can’t beat ’em so we gotta join ’em.
Globalists’ error is thinking ideologues, to include themselves, will think their way past their ideology and face facts of the human condition. But it never happens that way because ideologues idolators prefer their idols over the truth. The only solution to that problem is the one Elijah applied to prelates at Carmel. Thus his veneration by the humble and holy.
The benefit we can derive from anything is directly proportional to the faith we place in it. From adoration of gods, pilgrimages, chanting mantras, or resorting to doctors, we derive benefits only according to the measure of our faith. For the growth of faith and for the fostering of understanding, an essential requirement is purity of the heart, of the very base of thought (the kshetra), and of the level of consciousness (chittha). Without this purity, the sudden effort of self-inquiry or investigation into the self-existent Atma, while in the midst of diverse worldly and material entanglements, will be rendered fruitless, since it will not stem from an eager will. The consciousness (chittha) must first be withdrawn from the objective world (prapancha) and turned inward toward the awareness of the Atma. Seeds can sprout fast only when planted in a well-ploughed land. So too, the seed of Atmic wisdom can sprout in the heart-field (hridaya-kshetra) only when it has undergone the necessary refining process.
- Sathya Sai Baba – Vidya Vahini, Chapter 9 / Daily Email, Sai Inspires: Subscription
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