Asked what I thought of UBL’s latest diatribe. I said he sounds desperate. This is to elaborate on that observation.
The massive and successful French resistance to Chirac’s effort to amend the labor laws to permit employers to hire Arabs in place of French and the massive Dutch anti-Arab response to the murder of van Gogh, plus other indicators, such as Bush’s determination to stay the course and Democrats’ refusal to leave Iraq — because they know the large majority of the electorate understand now the strategic implications of doing so, including Democrats (especially Jewish Democrats) — convinced UBL that efforts to extort the leaders of Western nations have failed because their people do not want to give in to intimidation by Caliphism.
This is why in the latest diatribe he threatens the people directly, as far as I know for the first time, giving as reason that he realizes that they actually support their leaders in beating down Imperialists, including himself, much as they complain about details of doing it. They do not want to be taken over and will act to prevent that from happening.
Thus UBL has seen that his problem is deeper and broader than he conceived heretofore. Even the Spanish continue the fight in their own country and in cooperation with others and the consensus of observers has been for some time that they voted in the communists to punish Azner for not being straightforward about the source of the train bombing.
This new realization of the profile, scope, depth and determination of his enemy has made UBL desperate, for he knows that the people’s fundamental will is a far greater problem for him than is, as he thought, the political calculations of their leaders.
Remember, he is nursed on the idea that the people of the Western nations will do anything to avoid unpleasantness and a fight, especially with a ruthless and determined enemy. The Iranians believe the same, but they too now are having second thoughts, partly because of Bush’s resolve but mostly because of the evidence of the people’s resolve as indicated by events mentioned above, and others — such as the success of the Afghan (self-building and fighting) and Pakistani (self-cleaning and fighting) Armies.
The man has a problem he was unaware that he had. The French, interestingly, were the ones who brought it clearly into focus for him. Their reaction to affirmative action for Arabs/Africans in France disillusioned him, devastating him. He extrapolated properly to realize that this is a Western (Christian) phenomenon, not just a local French one and systemic rather than a fluke.
So now he threatens the Western Crusader people themselves, directly, blaming them for his troubles — which is accurate — worrying if he has the wherewithal to defeat their will and fearing, rightly, that he does not.
Accordingly, such attacks as he and the Iranians can mount from now on, or until the next target shift induced by a new realization, will be on civilian populations, as in Spain and England — rather than against governments, as when the Arabs and Africans rioted recently in Paris — and likely specifics include transit and churches since he feels his experience indicates that Christianity — meaning, in his eyes, human values and appropriate structures of government, especially nation-states — is alive in the breasts of the Western peoples, even if formally they do not admit it. And he is right.
Within two years, the hot portion of the world-wide beat down of Caliphism will be completed. The cold portion of that beat down will take three to four years beyond that.
It is important to realize that the Shiites in Iran, the source of the strife in that nation, are of Arab-extraction. Of the 70 millions in Iran, they have the support of 2 millions. For this reason I include them in the foregoing observation regarding the destiny of Caliphism.
AMDG
